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Diagrams & Structural Models

Post-Hegemony Primer — Systems Diagrams

This module contains the full suite of diagrams used throughout the Post-Hegemony Primer. Each diagram is presented as an inline SVG that you may copy directly into your MkDocs docs/ folder or embed within pages as partials.

The diagrams are conceptual tools: visualizations of system dynamics, failure modes, strategic drift, and multipolar emergence. None are U.S.-exclusive; all models are globally applicable.


1. Global Hegemonic Cycle Model

Adapted from world-systems theory, modified for 21st-century digital multipolarity.

Concept

Visualizes the classical hegemonic arc — rise, peak, overextension, delegitimization, and fragmentation — applied to any hegemonic system (imperial, economic, ideological, or corporate-platform).

SVG

<svg width="720" height="360" viewBox="0 0 720 360" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg">
  <style>
    .label { font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; }
    .title { font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; }
  </style>

  <!-- Title -->
  <text x="360" y="30" text-anchor="middle" class="title">
    Global Hegemonic Cycle Model
  </text>

  <!-- Curve -->
  <path d="M60 280 
           C180 80, 360 60, 540 120
           C630 150, 660 240, 700 280"
        fill="none" stroke="black" stroke-width="3"/>

  <!-- Nodes -->
  <circle cx="120" cy="240" r="6" fill="black"/>
  <circle cx="260" cy="140" r="6" fill="black"/>
  <circle cx="390" cy="100" r="6" fill="black"/>
  <circle cx="520" cy="150" r="6" fill="black"/>
  <circle cx="650" cy="260" r="6" fill="black"/>

  <!-- Labels -->
  <text x="120" y="255" class="label">1. Formation</text>
  <text x="260" y="125" class="label">2. Ascendance</text>
  <text x="390" y="85" class="label">3. Peak</text>
  <text x="520" y="135" class="label">4. Overextension</text>
  <text x="650" y="245" class="label">5. Decline/Fragmentation</text>
</svg>

2. Pillars of Hegemonic Stability

Economic • Military • Cultural • Institutional • Technological

Concept

Shows that hegemonic endurance depends on multiple interlocking pillars, none of which can fail without weakening the others.

SVG

<svg width="720" height="320" viewBox="0 0 720 320" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg">
  <style>
    .label { font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; text-anchor: middle; }
    .title { font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; }
  </style>

  <!-- Title -->
  <text x="360" y="30" class="title" text-anchor="middle">
    Pillars of Hegemonic Stability
  </text>

  <!-- Pillars -->
  <rect x="80" y="80" width="100" height="180" fill="none" stroke="black"/>
  <rect x="190" y="80" width="100" height="180" fill="none" stroke="black"/>
  <rect x="300" y="80" width="100" height="180" fill="none" stroke="black"/>
  <rect x="410" y="80" width="100" height="180" fill="none" stroke="black"/>
  <rect x="520" y="80" width="100" height="180" fill="none" stroke="black"/>

  <!-- Labels -->
  <text x="130" y="270" class="label">Economic</text>
  <text x="240" y="270" class="label">Military</text>
  <text x="350" y="270" class="label">Cultural</text>
  <text x="460" y="270" class="label">Institutional</text>
  <text x="570" y="270" class="label">Technological</text>
</svg>

3. Four-Zone Post-Hegemonic Landscape

Multipolarity replaces unipolarity with distributed power centers.

Concept

A map of the four primary competitive zones emerging in the post-hegemonic world:

  • Regional Power Blocs
  • Nonstate Strategic Actors
  • Platform-Empires
  • Civilizational Cores

SVG

<svg width="720" height="360" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg">
  <style>
    .group { font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; }
    .box { fill: none; stroke: black; stroke-width: 2; }
  </style>

  <!-- Boxes -->
  <rect x="60" y="60" width="250" height="110" class="box"/>
  <rect x="410" y="60" width="250" height="110" class="box"/>
  <rect x="60" y="200" width="250" height="110" class="box"/>
  <rect x="410" y="200" width="250" height="110" class="box"/>

  <!-- Labels -->
  <text x="185" y="120" text-anchor="middle" class="group">Regional Power Blocs</text>
  <text x="535" y="120" text-anchor="middle" class="group">Platform Empires</text>

  <text x="185" y="260" text-anchor="middle" class="group">Nonstate Strategic Actors</text>
  <text x="535" y="260" text-anchor="middle" class="group">Civilizational Cores</text>
</svg>

4. Drift-to-Disorder Feedback Loop

Hegemonies crumble via internal contradictions more often than external assault.

Concept

A feedback loop showing how decay becomes self-accelerating:

Instability → Legitimacy Decline → Overreaction → Economic Overreach → Instability

SVG

<svg width="720" height="360" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg">
  <style>
    .label { font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; text-anchor: middle; }
    .title { font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; }
  </style>

  <!-- Title -->
  <text x="360" y="30" text-anchor="middle" class="title">
    Drift-to-Disorder Feedback Loop
  </text>

  <!-- Circles -->
  <circle cx="360" cy="90" r="45" fill="none" stroke="black" stroke-width="2"/>
  <circle cx="540" cy="180" r="45" fill="none" stroke="black" stroke-width="2"/>
  <circle cx="360" cy="270" r="45" fill="none" stroke="black" stroke-width="2"/>
  <circle cx="180" cy="180" r="45" fill="none" stroke="black" stroke-width="2"/>

  <!-- Arrows -->
  <path d="M405 90 L495 160" stroke="black" fill="none" marker-end="url(#arrow)"/>
  <path d="M540 225 L405 255" stroke="black" fill="none" marker-end="url(#arrow)"/>
  <path d="M315 270 L225 210" stroke="black" fill="none" marker-end="url(#arrow)"/>
  <path d="M180 135 L315 105" stroke="black" fill="none" marker-end="url(#arrow)"/>

  <!-- Arrow marker -->
  <defs>
    <marker id="arrow" markerWidth="10" markerHeight="10" refX="6" refY="3" orient="auto">
      <polygon points="0 0, 6 3, 0 6" fill="black"/>
    </marker>
  </defs>

  <!-- Labels -->
  <text x="360" y="95" class="label">Instability</text>
  <text x="540" y="185" class="label">Legitimacy Loss</text>
  <text x="360" y="275" class="label">Economic Overreach</text>
  <text x="180" y="185" class="label">Overreaction</text>
</svg>

5. Global Signals Dashboard Architecture

An analytic system for monitoring post-hegemonic transitions.

Concept

This shows a modular OSINT-analytics architecture, suitable for Ardens, HAP, or any global monitoring system.

SVG

```svg

Global Signals Dashboard Architecture

1. Data Intake (OSINT • Economic • Sociopolitical • Cyber • Climate • Military)

2. Processing & Normalization (Filters • De-biasing • Weighting)

3. Analytics (AI Models • Human Review • Multi-AI Adjudication)

4. Outputs (Dashboards • Forecasts • Briefings)