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OSINT Tracker: US–EU Friction – Ukraine Focus

1. Objective

Track, document, and analyze emerging evidence of divergence between the US and EU regarding Ukraine policy.
Flag statements, news items, and analyses indicating potential policy conflicts, sanctions disputes, or strategic disagreements.

2. Core Sources

  • Press outlets:
  • Australia: ABC, SMH
  • France: Le Monde, Le Figaro
  • US: NYT, Washington Post, WSJ

  • EU: Politico EU, Euronews

  • Official communications:

  • US State Department statements
  • European Council releases
  • NATO briefings

  • Presidential briefings (US, EU member states)

  • Think-tanks & analysts:

  • CFR, Bruegel, Carnegie Europe, Institut Montaigne, Lowy Institute

  • Social media monitoring:

  • Verified officials and diplomats
  • EU policy accounts
  • Key journalists covering Ukraine/US–EU relations

3. Collection Workflow

  1. Daily monitoring of identified sources.
  2. Archive all relevant statements and articles (PDF, HTML snapshot, or screenshot).
  3. Annotate each item with:
  4. Source
  5. Date
  6. Type (statement, op-ed, news report, press release)
  7. Tag for relevance:
  8. Policy divergence
  9. US pressure
  10. EU pushback
  11. Ukraine surrender scenario

4. Verification & Corroboration

  • Cross-check claims across at least two independent sources.
  • Highlight discrepancies, contradictions, or bias indicators.
  • Maintain source reliability scoring: Trusted / Medium / Low.

5. Analysis & Output

  • Timeline of statements/events highlighting divergence points.
  • Identify patterns: repeated EU pushback, Trump statements aligning with Putin, conflicting policy announcements.
  • Weekly summary brief for internal review.
  • Feed tagged events into Post-Hegemony Tracker for AI-assisted correlation.

6. Optional AI Integration

  • Grok and Gemini assist in summarizing key articles.
  • Flag emergent sentiment changes, shifts in tone, or sudden alignment/disalignment signals.
  • Maintain a knowledge graph linking actors (US, EU, Putin, Zelensky, Trump) to statements and decisions.

7. Source Placeholder List

Date Source Type Summary Tags
2025-11-29 Le Monde Article EU officials reportedly expressing concern over US pressure on Ukraine negotiations. EU pushback, Policy divergence
2025-11-29 ABC News Article Australian analysis highlights potential friction in transatlantic strategy. Policy divergence, Early indicator
2025-11-29 NYT Article Coverage of Trump statements aligning with Putin’s approach on Ukraine. US alignment with Russia, Policy divergence
2025-11-28 Washington Post Article EU diplomats caution against unilateral US decisions affecting Ukraine strategy. EU pushback, Diplomatic tension
2025-11-28 Politico EU Article EU Parliament members suggest potential reevaluation of NATO coordination. EU pushback, Strategic reassessment
2025-11-27 Lowy Institute Analysis Australian think-tank points out long-term risks for US–EU cohesion if Ukraine policy conflict persists. Early indicator, Strategic risk
2025-11-27 Le Figaro Article French officials reportedly irritated by US insistence on a rapid Ukraine settlement favorable to Russia. EU pushback, Policy divergence
2025-11-27 Euronews Article EU Commission emphasizes need for collective European stance, implicitly countering US approach. EU pushback, Collective stance

8. Notes

  • This tracker is a living document; new entries should be added daily.
  • Ensure all archived material is timestamped and stored for later reference.
  • Maintain neutrality and rely on verifiable sources.